Monday, July 22, 2013

Netflix Stumbles; Google and Texas Instruments Rally


July 22, 2013
        News surfaced today that Google(GOOG) took a 6.3% stake in Himax Technologies'(HIMX) display subsidiary, Himax Display. This confirmed reports that Himax has long been the producer of the liquid crystal silicon chips used in Google Glass, whose rumors have allowed the stock to rise 235% this year. HIMX ended the trading day up 30%. GOOG also rose nearly 2%, making up for the losses it experienced on a disappointing earnings report Friday.
        Netflix's(NFLX) second quarter earnings rose an impressive 20% from the same quarter last year, meeting analyst's expectations. However, the stock dropped 7% after hours on reports that its gain in US subscribers missed analyst expectations by about 250,000. NFLX is up over 200% this year due to two earnings toppings that sent the stock shooting up over $50 twice. Also, the company has face significant revenue increase and the backing of activist investors such as Carl Ichan.
        Hasbro(HAS) released second quarter earnings with revenue falling 16% along with the trends of the rest of the games industry. Its sales for boys toys fell steeply, but the stock rallied 3.4% on future prospects for the company. HAS announced today that it has expanded relationships with Disney(DIS), allowing it to produce toys based on Star Wars and Marvel characters for another few years.
         Texas Instruments (TXN) released a third quarter revenue forecast that is better than analysts reported, due to increased confidence from customers. Sources of income for the company are changing, with more income derived from analog and embedded circuits, which have a higher gross margin than wireless circuits. This shift could cause an increase in future earnings. TXN also released second quarter earnings, which showed a 9% decrease in gross revenue, but an increase in net income from $446 million to $660 million. The stock closed up 16 cents, or 0.43%. It is currently up 0.78 cents, or 2.08%, in after-hours trading.

     

Sources:
http://www.fool.com/investing/
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.

Friday, July 19, 2013

Google, Microsoft, AMD, TSM Fall - GE Jumps


July 19, 2013
        Microsoft shot down more than four dollars, or eleven percent, today. This loss is the first in a long time, breaking a period of gains that catapulted the stock from $28 to $36. It dropped so much due to disappointing Q4 results, reflecting the weakening PC market. As mobile devices become more and more dominant, it is becoming harder for Microsoft and other computer companies to stay on top. Due to the Q4 results, MSFT has slipped down to $31 - a price that it climbed above this May.
        Google (GOOG) also fell today, by $16 or almost 2%. This was due to the publication of their Q2 results, which revealed a 6% decline in the CPC (cost-per-click) value. Basically, this value determines how much money Google receives every time someone clicks an advertisement on their websites. Since selling ad space is Google's main way of generating revenue, this decline spells trouble for the company. While the CPC has been declining over the past year, the rate of decline had been decelerating until recently. Investors were optimistic over this deceleration, which led to the stock's impressive gains. However, Google's CPC decline may decrease investors' optimism over the upcoming weeks/months. Google plans to continue to expand into the mobile ad market, giving investors reason to expect continued growth. The company achieved many new milestones this year, including its Google Cars, its Google Glasses, and its YouTube revenue topping $1 billion per quarter.

        Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM) fell another 2%, adding to the 10% it shed yesterday. The company released an earnings report that was above the consensus estimate, but forecasted a Q3 revenue that was a couple billion below what Wall Street expected. This caused concern for the company’s ability to stay afloat in an extremely competitive mobile devices market. In addition, larger rivals like Samsung and Intel are able to roll out chips at cheaper prices, making it difficult for the company to attract new customers. TSM currently operates three Fab manufacturing plants that are each worth an estimated $12 billion!

        GE reported earnings that were just slightly above Wall Street estimates today. The conglomerate’s stock rose by about 5% during trading hours due to an increase in their order book. Its industrial branch stated that its backlog rose to $223 billion, with orders in the US rising 20%! In addition, the company has received $26 billion worth of orders for its jet engines this year! However, the financial division of the company, GE Capital, posted another revenue decline. This branch of the company was responsible for the decline of the company during the 2008 recession.  Currently, it represents about 1/3 of the company but is rapidly decreasing in size. CEO Jeff Immelt plans to continue shrinking it to return GE back to its industrial roots.
        Intel rival AMD also fell today, by a massive 62 cents or 13.5%. This was due to a forecasted drop in gross margin (profit from sales minus production costs), as well as a downgrade to "Sell" by Goldman Sachs analyst James Covello, who believes that it is overvalued. AMD has been hurt by the declining PC market, which is at record lows.

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

The 3-D Printing Sector Bounces Back - XONE Jumps



July 17, 2013
Yesterday was a bad day for many NASDAQ stocks, especially the 3D Printing sector. Ex One (XONE) was hit the hardest, dropping a massive 12.25% by the end of the day. This was caused by the stock being downgraded from a "Buy" rating to a "Hold" rating by firm BB&T Capital Markets. BB&T downgraded the stock because they thought that a "takeout", or acquisition of the company, was unlikely in the near future. It is thought that share prices rose so high because a takeout was anticipated, and since one will most likely not occur for a while the stock will soon plummet.  XONE's decline caused Stratasys (SSYS) and 3D Systems (DDD) to drop as well. Both of these stocks are major components of the 3-D printing sector, and as such responded to XONE's drop in a similar fashion. SSYS was down $5.90, more than 6%. DDD was down $1.40, almost 3%. 

Today brought better news for investors in these companies. Notably, analyst B.G Dickey recommended buying XONE, saying that the stock's long-term outlook was very positive. He increased his price target from $46 to $67. This optimistic news caused XONE's price to rise dramatically by $5.48, or 9.72%. Other 3-D printing stocks responded favorably as well. DDD closed up one cent, or 0.02%. Stratasys closed up $1.67 (1.87%). Analysts can have a big effect on stocks, which is obvious based on XONE's performance these past few days. As XONE's price returns to what it was before the crash, t may present a window of opportunity for investors to earn lots of money. However, be wary; profits can be wiped out instantly as this volatile sector jumps up and down.



RELAVENT STOCKS:

Ex One Corp. (NASDAQ: XONE)
3D Systems (NASDAQ: DDD)
Stratasys (NASDAQ: SSYS)

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.

Bank of America Rises; DuPont Soars; Intel Relatively Stable


July 17, 2013
        Following the path of other large investments giants, Bank of America(BAC) released its quarterly results this morning. Profit increased 70% from last year to an impressive $3.6 billion. The company's stock rose over 3% during midmorning trading, adding to the 75% it has risen this year. It helped pull up the Dow 0.12% at the end of the trading day.

        Intel(INTC) also reported disappointing profits today, with profits dropping over 20% in the second quarter. This number was just shy of the average analyst expectation on Wall Street. The company has been struggling to increase revenue as rival companies gain momentum in a shrinking global PC market. With Apple and Samsung products expanding into both companies and schools, Intel has seen its sales slump along with other major players in the industry. Its stock dropped 4% in after-market hours.

         Electronics accessories maker Zagg(ZAGG) fell almost 20% due to the company lowering its second quarter earnings expectations that came in over 10% below previous reports.

        DuPont(DD) rose 5% today, making it the largest gainer on the Dow. Reports were released that Trian Fund Management's Nelson Peltz increased his holdings in the company, sending the shares sky-rocketing.

        American Express(AXP) beat analyst expectations on earnings, but missed on revenue. This raised concerns about the company's growth rate, sending the shares down 2%.

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Goldman Beats; Tesla Falls


July 16, 2013
        Before the opening of the market, Goldman Sachs(GS) released their quarterly earnings report with profit doubling and revenue rising double digit values! This allowed the stock to rise a few percent in pre-market trading, but it quickly fell with the market to end down 1.7%. This jump in revenue is largely due to overall stocks and bonds growth this year, caused mainly by Federal Stimulus. As the world governments tighten laws targeted at large investments firms to prevent another market crash, and Bernanke expresses his plans to taper the QE3, Goldman's future prospects are unclear. This caused the stock to dip into negative territory at the end of the day.
        Tesla(TSLA) shares fell 14.3% at market close, inching down another 2% in after-hour trading. Today, the company received a poor price target from Goldman Sachs analyst Patrick Archambault. His expectation ranged from a low of $58 to a high of $84. Both of these values are much lower than $130 at which TSLA was trading before the downgrade. Tesla shares are up 200% this year largely due to earnings beats, market expansion, and overall development within the company.
        Shares of Coca-Cola(KO) slid down 1.9% at the end of the trading day, dragging with it the Dow. For this quarter, the company's revenue and earnings both fell about 3%. As diabetes and obesity become growing problems world-wide, people are watching what the eat and drink. This may effect future earnings reports from the company, but the company stated they expect the second quarter to bear better results.
        After market close, Yahoo(YHOO) reported a profit growth of 40% while revenue decreased. The increase in net income is largely due to stricter company policy enforced by CEO Marissa Mayer. Mayer, who transferred from Google last year, led the company in an ambitious plan for takeovers and a new line of online services. She stated that she has high hopes on Yahoo, even though the companies outlook is worse than expected.
        Holden Lewis of BB&T Capital Markets downgraded Ex-One(XONE) today, sending share spiraling a frightening 12%. His downgrade effected the entire 3D Printing sector, sending 3D Systems(DDD) down 2.73%, Stratasys(SSYS) down 6.03%, and Xerox(XRX) down 1.12%. Lewis stated that he still expects large amounts of growth from XONE, but measures need to be taken to justify its current price.

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.

Sector Analysis: 3-D Printing



3-D printing (sometimes referred to as additive manufacturing) has taken the world by storm recently, with technology that could change the world as we know it- while also making huge profits for investors. In this article, we will explain what 3-D printing is, and then look at some companies involved in this exciting, volatile sector.

3-D printers work in a remarkably simple, yet robust, fashion. First, the object to be created, or "printed", is digitally modeled using CAD (computer-aided design) software. Once a digital model has been created, it is sent to the 3-D printer, which analyzes the model. The printer then creates the object by depositing layer after layer of material, usually plastic. As each layer cools, it becomes a solid base for the next layer. Basically, objects are divided into many cross-sections that are then printed separately. The cross-sections are fused together, creating a physical representation of the digital model. 

Obviously, 3-D printing has many distinct advantages over conventional manufacturing methods. Since the 3-D printer prints from a digital model, objects can be made to the specific consumer's design specifications. No longer will you have to settle for a standardized size, or have to wait for a costly custom component to be shipped. The ability of consumers to generate objects by themselves, for themselves, will revolutionize the modern world. Another benefit of 3-D printing is that, by creating the object without having to sand, drill, or cut away materials (this will be explained further in the next paragraph), costs can be kept lower. A final advantage of 3-D printing is that it is relatively safe compared to other manufacturing methods. The lack of drills, saws, welders, and other dangerous tools makes 3-D printing quite harmless.

 3-D printing is different than most manufacturing techniques in that it is additive, rather than subtractive. Normal manufacturing techniques involve the removal, or subtraction, of materials (i.e. cutting, sanding, and drilling), while 3-D printers deposit, or add materials. By being an additive process, 3-D printers save materials, and therefore money, over conventional manufacturing methods. Furthermore, while subtractive manufacturing generates waste in scraps and dust, 3-D printers avoid this. Due to this, in the long run 3-D printers will increase landfill space while also decreasing respiratory illness in factories.


The 3-D printer sector is one of the most volatile, and potentially profitable, sectors in the market today. It is not uncommon for stocks within this sector to move as much as eight percent in one day, presenting an exciting opportunity for investors to make - or lose - large amounts of money. Now, we will examine some major players in the sector.








3D Systems Corporation (DDD) 



 

3D Systems Corporation (DDD) is the oldest, and largest, 3D printing company as of today. Founded in 1986, the company now has over a thousand employees, and revenue of $230 million. Cubify, a line of low-end printers meant for consumers, is now sold in Staples. 3D Systems is one of the most well known 3-D printing companies, as well as one of the only to make a profit. Their stock is certainly impressive- up 111.6% since last year, and 268% since its IPO. It has risen by 29.9% in 2013. The forward P/E is 35.74, versus a trailing P/E of 105.21. There is a quarterly revenue growth of 31%. However, earnings have gone down somewhat, with quarterly earnings decreasing by 4.9%.  Also worth mentioning is the 50.66 million dollars in debt, and the 110.54 million dollars in cash, the company possesses. All in all, DDD is a solid performer that has shown exceptional growth in the past. While this stock is less risky than the others, in the upcoming years the rate of growth, and therefore earnings for investors, may start to slow down.



Stratasys (SSYS)


Another major player in the 3-D printing sector is Stratasys. Founded a mere three years after DDD, Stratasys has 530 employees and earned 155.89 million in revenue (2011). While its products were limited to high-end applications in the past, the recent acquisition of Makerbot for $400 million in cash and stock options, a startup involved in desktop 3-D printing, has secured a place for Stratasys in the consumer market. SSYS has been on the market for far longer than DDD, with an IPO in 1994. Since then, it has increased in price by 5,337.7%! Growth hasn't been as fast lately, with a yearly increase of 85.32%. However, the numbers are extremely encouraging. There is a forward P/E of 35.57 (no trailing P/E could be obtained), and a quarterly revenue growth of 116.2% - in other words, it more than doubled. Stratasys has $140.88 million in cash - and no debt. No data on the quarterly earnings growth could be obtained. Stratasys is similar to 3D Systems - it is a large, established company that may not have much more room to grow. However, 3-D printing is an emerging technology and it is possible that Stratasys could bring huge profits to investors.



Ex One Corporation (XONE)



Ex One is weird. While most of the other companies listed are somewhat consumer-oriented, it instead focuses on high-end industrial applications. In addition, Ex One also provides a service to individual consumers by printing designs for them (for a fee). Two major differences between XONE and other companies are the printing materials used, and the size of printers. While other companies exclusively print in plastic, XONE printers can print in plastic, sand, glass, and even metal. This allows for a greater range of applications. XONE printers are also much bigger than those of its competitors, with the largest one measuring (). XONE is a more recent company, with their IPO in February. Since then, the stock has grown by 142.16%. Their IPO was quite pricey, at $18. Even with such an expensive IPO, the company has still managed to double in size. Quarterly revenue growth is at 191.5%. However, even with such a large increase in revenue the company is still losing money, with a profit margin of -31.2%. While XONE has the potential to grow at an extremely fast rate due to it being one-of-a-kind with metallic 3D printing, it will have to compete with other, larger companies such as 3D Systems and Stratasys. Additionally, if sales do not pick up and the company continues to lose money, investors could suffer greatly. 



Xerox Corporation (XRX) 


Xerox, the once mighty printing company, is now involved in the 3D printing sector with an exciting new idea- printable electronics. The ability to print electronic circuits would revolutionize the manufacturing world, and could reestablish Xerox as a mighty cornerstone company. As this technology is experimental and has not been implemented yet, it is not worth it to analyze Xerox's stock. Investors should look out for this stock in the future, as it could potentially explode in price.


Organovo (ONVO)

We will end this list with Organovo, a company that specializes in a completely different field than the others-bioprinting. Unlike most companies, it is part of two major sectors: 3D Printing and Biotech. The printing of stem-cells in order to form organs is a revolutionary technology that could save countless lives. Imagine how many people die waiting on the transplant list. All of those deaths could be avoided. While this technology is extremely exciting, it has not come to fruition yet. Organovo is still a development stage company, that may soon bear results. They recently completed the printing of a working human liver, and expect to market their products as early as 2014! Even though Organovo does not currently have any products, the hype and excitement alone is enough to boost its performance as it was changed from the OTC Markets to the NYSE. Its stock has shot up 50% in the last week.

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.

Sunday, July 14, 2013

Stock: COST


        In its most recent quarter, Costco again topped analyst estimates with quarterly revenue rising 19% from the same quarter last year. With over 96,000 employees, the retailing giant has had a fantastic year. Its stock price is up 23% on continuous earnings beats, spiking and falling within ten dollar ranges. At it's current P/E Ratio of 25.19, much higher than competitors in the industry, is it still an attractive investment?
        Costco offers discounted merchandise to consumers who are willing to buy in bulk. This is extremely helpful to small business owners, but often scares off others. Due to this, the company has a very low profit margin of 1.9% that prevents it from expanding at the rate of other retailing giants. Most of its profit comes from its membership fees as opposed to the merchandise because the low price at which it sells things. This membership fee remained at around $50, but was raised to $55 this year due to the rate of inflation effecting company profitability. This didn't seem to scare off loyal members as the company still posted an expansion.
        With its large market cap, Costco still offers some room for growth. The warehouse stores offer food, clothes, furniture, electronics, services, and sometimes even gas! Each and very day the stores are lined up with people eager to cash in on the good deals. This is a good sign for the company in weak economy, but it means that it doesn't have much room for same-store growth in revenue. In order to increase its profits, the company needs to open more stores to expand their reach to a larger range of consumers. The only problem is, the rate at which they are opening stores might not be enough to balance out the rate at which Wall Street expects growth from the company.
        Even with the low price at which it sells things, Costco still faces stiff competition from rival companies. Walmart also sells things at fairly low prices targeted at the low and middle income families. Their subsidiary, Sam's Club is often fighting head to head with Costco. Along with BJ's, Wholefoods, and Wegman's, Costco's discounted rates may not be enough to keep up with growth expectations.
        Another thing that may attract investors is the opportunity for a takeover from a larger investment company such as Berkshire Hathaway. Warren Buffett has long praised the business structure of Costco and his company owns a large percentage of shares. In addition, his business partner Charles Munger is a Chairman of the board and his friends, Bill and Melinda Gates, also own a large portion of shares. He has strategically place key personnel all around Costco's board. With his history of buying large companies such as his takeover of Heinz for $27 billion added to the $49 billion his company holds in cash, a buyout of Costco is a real possibility.

"Costco Wholesale Corporation engages in the operation of membership warehouses. The company offers branded and private-label products in a range of merchandise categories. Its product categories include candy, snack foods, tobacco, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, and cleaning and institutional supplies; appliances, electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, office supplies, cameras, garden and patio, sporting goods, toys, seasonal items, and automotive supplies; dry and institutionally packaged foods; apparel, domestics, jewelry, house wares, media, home furnishings, and small appliances; and meat, bakery, deli, and produce. The company also engages in the operation of gas stations, pharmacies, food courts, optical dispensing centers, one-hour photo centers, hearing aid centers, and print shops and copy centers; and car wash and travel businesses. In addition, it provides business and gold star (individual) membership services. As of November 28, 2012, the company operated 618 warehouses, including 447 in the United States and Puerto Rico, 84 in Canada, 32 in Mexico, 22 in the United Kingdom, 13 in Japan, 9 in Taiwan, 8 in South Korea, and 3 in Australia. Further, it is involved in online businesses at costco.com in the United States and costco.ca in Canada. The company was formerly known as Costco Companies, Inc. and changed its name to Costco Wholesale Corporation in August 1999. Costco Wholesale Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Issaquah, Washington." -Yahoo! Finance

Disclaimer: Trading stocks has extremely high risks, and should not be taken to lightly without a thorough understanding. This is written from a purely commentary point of view and is not meant to suggest buying, selling, or holding a stock. All traders must do their own research prior to investing. We (StockQuests) are unaffiliated with all of the companies that are mentioned on this blog, and can't be held responsible for any losses that may occur. Invest at your own risk.